PROSPECTIVE DEVELOPMENT OF LABOUR MARKET STABILISATION DURING THE WAR BASED ON THE ANALYSIS OF EMPLOYMENT OF THE ABLE-BODIED POPULATION

Abstract

The article is devoted to topical issues of stabilization of the labor market in Ukraine during hostilities. It has been proven that the full-scale active hostilities currently taking place on the territory of Ukraine lead to the loss of income of the working population, as the activities of enterprises are forcibly stopped or suspended in temporarily occupied territories or territories where active military operations are taking place, a very small number of subjects work in a hybrid format; some are able to work offline. Also, the war has a negative impact on the labor potential of the country, disrupts the functioning of the labor market, and provokes an increase in the level of uncertainty. A significant consequence of the complication of the quantitative assessment of modern unemployment is the permission to postpone the submission of reporting information for internally displaced persons and employers. It was found that the reasons for the increase in the level of registered unemployment are the active migration of Ukrainians abroad, the reduction of territories controlled by the Ukrainian authorities, and mobilization. Based on the reports of the State Employment Center, an analysis of the current situation on the labor market was carried out. The indicators of the number of registered unemployed, the employed population, the dynamics of competition for 1 vacancy, the number of vacancies and the unemployed by region and type of economic activity were studied. The modern trends observed in the labor market, namely the imbalance between the demand and supply of labor force, low level of remuneration, high competition, are identified. It was found that the reasons why people refuse the services of the state employment center are the availability of public works, which have a minimum payment and a high probability of referral, at the same time, when refusing the offered job, the registered unemployed person may be removed from the register. The article, based on grouped data, identifies negative trends affecting the labor market and proposes mechanisms for regulating negative trends in the labor market in Ukraine in order to stabilize it, including the implementation of a national policy based on the principles of stimulation and support of small and medium-sized businesses, properly organized remote work with flexible schedule, improvement of the employee motivation system during the war, etc. The proposed areas of work are of a long-term nature, therefore mechanisms for their implementation should be implemented both at the state and regional levels, and at the level of specific enterprises.