PROBLEMATIC ASPECTS OF APPLYING SIMULATION MODELING SYSTEMS IN THE SECURITY AND DEFENSE SECTOR

Abstract

The article considers key aspects of the application of simulation modeling systems in the security and defense sector, starting with the definition of the essence of this method. Simulation modeling is presented as a special numerical method based on conducting experiments using electronic computers using mathematical models. Particular attention is paid to the role of simulation modeling as a powerful tool for system analysis and management decision-making in conditions of high uncertainty and rapidity of the external environment. The method allows you to create specialized models on which experiments are carried out to understand the behavioral characteristics of the system and predict the development of events. The article also describes the history of the application of simulation modeling in the defense sector, in particular in the form of war games and command and staff exercises, which allow you to evaluate tactical and strategic decisions before their implementation in real combat conditions. Considerable attention is paid to the features of simulation experiments, in particular the ability to change time scales and take into account random factors using random number generators. The integration of additional procedures, such as expert surveys and field experiments. However, despite significant advantages, the method faces a number of problems. Among them are the high complexity of the mathematical apparatus, the need for qualified specialists, processing large amounts of data, and technical limitations, in particular, insufficient computing power and fragmentation of information systems. The problems of model accuracy due to the large number of variables and the influence of random factors are also emphasized, as well as the difficulties in collecting reliable, complete, and up-to-date information, which is critically important for modeling in the defense sector. Simulation modeling has great potential for increasing the effectiveness of management decisions in the security and defense sector. However, the realization of this potential requires comprehensive overcoming of technical, methodological, personnel and organizational challenges, improvement of infrastructure and advanced training of specialists. Only a systematic approach to solving these problems will ensure the accuracy and reliability of simulation models, which will contribute to making more informed and effective decisions in the complex and dynamic conditions of the modern security environment.